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2/8/2010

No economic data was released in the US today.

On Friday, we suggested that the return of volatility was the key characteristic of this market. Today, the financial press reported that the Dow just had its 10th triple-digit move in 16 trading days.

Rather than worrying that a single, large US financial player may go bankrupt, investors now appear worried entire (European) countries may default. First and foremost, these concerns regard Greece, but other, financially weak constituents of the EU have also been named as further 'problem areas', including Portugal, Spain, and Ireland. Greece's finance minister today announced a boosting of taxes, but the country's unions have announced strikes in retaliation. The main fear is not Greece itself, but a contagion to the rest of the EU.

Perhaps pointing to an upturn in the housing market was today's upgrade of Dow component Home Depot - the world's largest home improvement chain - by Morgan Stanley.


Key economic data for the week starting February 8, 2010. Numbers shown are consensus estimates (market anticipates this value) and prior value.
Tuesday:
10:00 AM WHOLESALE INVENTORIES M/M (Dec): 0.5% / 1.5%
Wednesday:
8:30 AM GOODS & SERVICES TRADE BALANCE (Dec): -$35.5B / -$36.4B

2:00 PM TREASURY BUDGET (Jan): -$70.0B / -$63.5B
Thursday:
8:30 AM CONTINUING CLAIMS Jan-30: n.a. / 4602K

INITIAL CLAIMS Feb-6: n.a. / 480K

RETAIL SALES M/M (Jan): 0.3% / -0.3%

RETAIL SALES (X-AUTOS) M/M (Jan): 0.4% / -0.2%

10:00 AM BUSINESS INVENTORIES M/M (Dec): 0.4% / 0.4%
Friday:
8:30 AM MICHIGAN CONSUMER SENTIMENT (Feb P): 74.8 / 74.4

© HGH Associated Press

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2/5/2010 - Russell 2000 - This chart example is a continuation of the Russell 2000 chart examples of January 22, 15 and 8, 2010. The same chart setting, the same indicators and the same rules were used a month ago when we had bullish market. Now in bearish market the system continue to deliver amassing returns....

1/29/2010 - S&P 500 Analysis - Plus 41 points on the S&P 500 in a week (1 point on S&P 500 = $50 on 1 E-mini S&P 500 futures contract) and 40 points on S&P 500 = $20,000 on 10 E-mini S&P 500 contract....

1/22/2010 - Russell 2000 Scalping - This week we have introduced SBV Histogram - advanced version of SBV Oscillator. Previous chart example was based on the the 1-day SBV(20) Russell 2000 chart. To illustrate how SBV Histogram could be used, this chart example has the same timeframe, the same index, the same trailing stop level and the same bar period for SBV. The only difference is that we used SBV Histogram instead of SBV Oscillator....

1/15/2010 - Russell 2000 Intraday Scalping - Plus 10 points on the Russell 2000 the simple trading system would made in a single session on January 15, 2010. 10 points on the Russell 2000 is equivalent to $10,000 on ten Russell 2000 emini contracts....

1/8/2010 - Russell 2000 Intraday Trading - By going into lower timeframe you should remember that SBV simple trading system would generate more signals, furthermore, the odds of lost trades are higher. Because of that, it would be logical to set tighter stop-loss strategy which would help to reduce loses and protect profit....

1/1/2010 - Simple Trading System - This SBV chart example is a continuation of the S&P 500 chart example of December 25, 2009 where the last signal was Sell....

12/25/2009 - S&P 500 index - Plus 6% on the S&P 500 index in November - December 2009 on the 60-day SBV(20) S&P 500 trading system. ...

12/18/2009 - Simple Trading - This SBV example is a continuation of the S&P 500 chart example of December 11, 2009. This example continues to illustrate this rule in practice:...

12/11/2009 - S&P 500 Intraday Trading - This SBV chart example is based on the 5-day SBV(20) S%P 500 chart. This example is a continuation of the S&P 500 chart example of December 4, 2009 which continues to illustrate this rule in practice....

12/4/2009 - Trading System - Plus 18 points on the S&P 500 in a week. 20 points on S&P 500 are equivalent to $10,000 on 10 E-mini S&P 500 contracts... ...

11/27/2009 - S&P 500 chart trading system - Plus 4% on the S&P 500 without a stop loss and plus 8% with 10-point stop-loss....

11/20/2009 - S&P 500 Chart Analysis - ...

11/13/2009 - S&P 500 - Plus 3% on the S&P 500 without a stop loss and plus 6% with 10-point stop-loss. Adding a Stop-Loss to the system may substantially reduce losses and, in some cases, even double the summary profit....

11/7/2009 - Nasdaq 100 Trading System - This SBV chart example is based on the 10-day SBV(20) Nasdaq 100 chart. Plus 4.7% in less than 2 weeks on the Nasdaq 100. This SBV example is a continuation of the Nasdaq 100 chart example of November 6, 2009. This example continues to illustrate this rule in practice. ...

10/30/2009 - Nasdaq 100 Trading - Plus 31 points on the Nasdaq 100 - this SBV example is a continuation of the Nasdaq 100 chart example of October 23, 2009. This example continues to illustrate this rule in practice. ...

10/24/2009 - Nasdaq 100 - This SBV chart example is based on the 10-day SBV(20) Nasdaq 100 chart - plus 40 points on the Nasdaq 100. ...

10/16/2009 - Russell 2000 - This SBV chart example is based on the 5-day SBV(20) Russell 2000 chart - +10 points on the Russell 2000 ...

10/9/2009 - S&P 500 Chart Analysis - This week's SBV chart example is based on the 60-day SBV(20) S&P 500 chart. This week's SBV example is a continuation of the S&P 500 chart example of September 19, 2009...

10/2/2009 - 41 points on the S&P 500 - This SBV chart example is based on the 15-day (1 bar = 15 minutes) SBV(16) S&P 500 chart. The presented simple trading system delivered +3.8% (41 points) on the S&P 500 in two weeks....

9/25/2009 - Short-Term Trading System - More than 20 points on the S&P 500 in 3 days. 1 point on the S&P 500 = $50 on 1 E-mini S&P 500 futures contract. 10 points on the S&P 500 = $5,000 on 10 E-mini S&P 500 contracts ...

9/19/2009 - S&P 500 Simple Trading - This SBV example is a continuation of the S&P 500 chart example of September 4, 2008 where the last signal was "Buy". Since then the S&P 500 have gained 107 points (+12%) ...

9/11/2009 - S&P 500 Charts - This SBV example is a continuation of the S&P 500 chart example of September 4, 2008 where the last signal was "Buy". Since thenthe S&P 500 has and our signal has gained 37 points (+3.7%). This example continues to illustrate this rule in practice: ...

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