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Best Trade Newsletter (August 10, 2006)


More then 20% in 2 days

This "best trade" is a continuation of previous "Best trade" newsletter posted (sent to MV subscribers) onAugust 9, 2006 where we left a QQQQ puts position open. As we noted in our previous "Best Trade" Newsletter, we closed "Buy Puts" trade and opened "Buy Calls" trade once the SBV Oscillator dropped below minus 33% and then advanced back to about that level (based on NASDAQ 100 15-day SBV Oscillator chart with 240-min VMA). That gave us more then 20% in just 2 days.

SecurityReturn
Calls (QQQQ - QQQJK)+3.4%
Puts (QQQQ - QQQVK)+12.5%
Calls (QQQQ - QQQJK)+7.4%

Below you will find a Table of Trade Motivations and a chart showing the trades, including detailed trade calculations.

Chart 2:NASDAQ 100 SBV Oscillator - August, 2006.
Candlesticks, 15-day View, 240-min VMA.

In Table 1 - a ''Table of Trade Motivators'' - we show the motivating factors that led us to take the above trades.

Table 1: Table of Trade Motivators

DateTrading
Decision
Motivation
08/09/06Buy CallsSBV oscillator dropped below minus 33% and advanced above that level back on August 9, 2006 around 10:00 (see NASDAQ 100 15-day SBV chart with 240-min VMA). This reveals that there is a big chance of a short-term move up.
08/09/06Sell Calls

Buy Puts

SBV oscillator railed above plus 33% and dropped below that level back on August 9, 2006 around 13:30 (see NASDAQ 100 15-day SBV chart with 240-min VMA). This reveals that there is a chance of a short-term correction down and we found that it was a safe to close all open calls options.

We expect to close "Buy Puts" trade once the SBV Oscillator drops below minus 33% and then advances back to about that level (based on NASDAQ 100 15-day SBV Oscillator chart with 240-min VMA). We will most likely buy calls at the same moment.

08/10/06Sell Puts

Buy Calls

SBV oscillator dropped below minus 33% and advanced above that level back on August 10, 2006 around 11:00 (see NASDAQ 100 15-day SBV chart with 240-min VMA). This reveals that there is a big chance of a short-term move up and we found that it was a safe to close all open puts options and buy calls options.
08/10/06Sell CallsSBV oscillator railed above plus 33% and dropped below that level back on August 10, 2006 around 14:45 (see NASDAQ 100 15-day SBV chart with 240-min VMA). This reveals that there is a chance of a short-term correction down and we found that it was a safe to close all open calls options.

Below we list in detail the actual trades made, along with the netted returns achieved.

Table 2:
Details of the trades

DateTradeStrikeExpirationContractsContract
Price
Amount

08/09/2006

Buy QQQJK Calls$37Oct. 200680$1.45-$11,600

08/09/2006

Sell QQQJK Calls$37Oct. 200680$1.50+$12,000

Profit:   

+$400 (3.4%)

08/09/2006

Buy QQQVK Puts$37Oct. 200690$1.20-$10,800

08/10/2006

Sell QQQVK Puts$37Oct. 200690$1.35+$12,150

Profit:   

+$1,350 (12.5%)

08/10/2006

Buy QQQJK Calls$37Oct. 200685$1.30-$11,050

08/10/2006

Sell QQQJK Calls$37Oct. 200685$1.40+$11,900

Profit:   

+$850 (7.4%)

© HGH Associated Traders
8/10/2006

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