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The lowest A/D issues and A/D volume ratios in 2001

In 2001, there were 4 instances where the S&P 500 index reached critically low A/D issues and A/D volume ratios.

Table 1. Lowest critical A/D volume and A/D issues ratios. S&P 500 index. 1998.

Date	Critical A/D Issues Ratio	Critical A/D Volume Ratio	Magnitude of Uptrend (Recovery Rally)	Chart and Point Reference

03/12/2001	0.07	0.05	1.6%	Chart #1 - A
04/03/2001	0.09	0.09	19.1%	Chart #1 - B
06/14/2001	0.11	0.12	1.7%	Chart #1 - C
09/17/2001	0.12	0.14	13.2%	Chart #1 - D

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Chart #1: Lowest critical A/D volume and A/D issues ratios. S&P 500 index. January to June 2001. (In the bottom pane, A/D issues ratios are listed at the top and A/D volume ratios at the bottom).

Chart #2 - Point A, B:	Between the end of August 200 and April 3, 2001 (point B), the S&P 500 declined by 30%. It was only then, at points A and B, that traders showed real panic. The extremely low A/D issues and volume ratios reached at point A (March 12) were not yet sufficient to reverse the market into a mid-term uptrend; however, the further 15-day decline leading up to point B (April 3) led to a 2-month mid-term upswing (April – May, 2001). After hitting lows at point B, the S&P 500 index proceeded to recover more than half (19%) the losses it had incurred during its previous 30% slide.

Chart # 1 - Point C:	June 14, 2001 (point C) was the next date with critically low A/D ratios readings. In spite of the low sentiment readings, the market hardly bounced and the index pushed significantly lower. This is one of the rare occasions where the index did not react to extremely low sentiment readings. From point C, the only upward reaction we noted was a brief push higher of 1.7% over 5 days.

Chart # 1 - Point D:	After hitting critically low A/D ratios readings on September 19, 2001 (point D), the S&P 500 index rebounded with a speedy recovery of more than 13%. Between August 28 and September 21, 2001, market breadth remained consistently negative to strongly negative; however, critically low sentiment levels were reached only once - on September 17. Four trading days later, on September 21, 2001, the index reversed to the upside and proceeded to gain more than 13% (as measured from point D).

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